PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.