PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.