PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 33%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 636 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Trevor Story RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EW Eli White RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.