PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 31%Cutter 17%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.