PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.