PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 31%Cutter 17%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →