PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.