PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 31%Cutter 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 6%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →