PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.