PITCHER MATCHUP
Jacob deGrom vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jacob deGrom's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 37%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%Sinker 1%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.