PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KC Kody Clemens SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.