PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .300
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →