PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 37%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →