PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.