PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 37%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%Sinker 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .295
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-20 game page →