PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.