PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 671 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.