PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.