PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob deGrom vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob deGrom's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob deGrom's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 36%Changeup 13%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob deGrom, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →