PITCHER MATCHUP

Jackson Kent vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jackson Kent's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jackson Kent's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 21%Slider 18%Curveball 17%Sinker 16%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jackson Kent, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →