PITCHER MATCHUP

Jackson Kent vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jackson Kent's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jackson Kent's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .367Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 21%Slider 17%Curveball 17%Sinker 16%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jackson Kent, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 705 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →