PITCHER MATCHUP

Jackson Kent vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jackson Kent's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jackson Kent's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .369Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%Sinker 14%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jackson Kent, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.