PITCHER MATCHUP

Jackson Kent vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jackson Kent's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jackson Kent's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .369Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%Sinker 14%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jackson Kent, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.