PITCHER MATCHUP

Jackson Jobe vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jackson Jobe's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jackson Jobe's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 29%Changeup 16%Sinker 14%Curveball 8%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jackson Jobe, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.