PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sweeper 31%Changeup 14%Cutter 11%Unknown 2%Sinker 2%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →