PITCHER MATCHUP
Jack Perkins vs Boston Red Sox
How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jack Perkins's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sweeper 29%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 4%Slider 2%Unknown 2%
How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.