PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 31%Changeup 15%Cutter 11%Unknown 2%Sinker 2%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →