PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sweeper 30%Changeup 16%Cutter 12%Sinker 2%Unknown 2%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →