PITCHER MATCHUP
Jack Perkins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jack Perkins's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 29%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Sinker 4%Unknown 2%Slider 2%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.