PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 31%Changeup 15%Cutter 11%Unknown 2%Sinker 2%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.