PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 31%Changeup 12%Cutter 12%Unknown 3%Sinker 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jared Triolo RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →