PITCHER MATCHUP
Jack Perkins vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jack Perkins's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sweeper 29%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 4%Slider 2%Unknown 2%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.