PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sweeper 29%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 4%Unknown 2%Slider 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.