PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Perkins vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Perkins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Perkins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sweeper 29%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 4%Slider 2%Unknown 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Perkins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.