PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Leiter vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Leiter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Leiter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 22%Changeup 16%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Cutter 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Leiter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.