PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Leiter vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Leiter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Leiter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 22%Changeup 16%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Cutter 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Leiter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.