PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Leiter vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Leiter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Leiter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 22%Changeup 17%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Cutter 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Leiter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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