PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Leiter vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Leiter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Leiter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 22%Changeup 16%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%Cutter 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Leiter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Trevor Story RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mickey Gasper SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Gasper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.