PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Flaherty vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Flaherty's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Flaherty's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 25%Knuckle Curve 23%Changeup 3%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Flaherty, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JJ Josh Jung RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Burger RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →