PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Flaherty vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Flaherty's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Flaherty's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 25%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 3%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Flaherty, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 677 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.