PITCHER MATCHUP

Jack Flaherty vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jack Flaherty's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jack Flaherty's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 25%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 3%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jack Flaherty, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →