PITCHER MATCHUP
Ian Seymour vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ian Seymour's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 29%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 16%Sinker 14%Cutter 6%Slider 5%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.