PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 30%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 17%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →