PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sweeper 16%Sinker 10%Cutter 10%Slider 3%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AS Anthony Seigler SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Seigler
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →