PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 31%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 17%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%Slider 3%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →