PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 29%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 16%Sinker 14%Cutter 6%Slider 5%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.