PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 30%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 16%Sinker 12%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-31 game page →