PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 31%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 16%Sinker 10%Cutter 10%Slider 3%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-23 game page →