PITCHER MATCHUP

Ian Seymour vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ian Seymour's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ian Seymour's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 29%Four-Seam Fastball 28%Sweeper 16%Sinker 14%Cutter 6%Slider 5%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ian Seymour, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.