PITCHER MATCHUP
Hurston Waldrep vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hurston Waldrep's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hurston Waldrep's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 29%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Slider 12%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Unknown 2%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hurston Waldrep, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HD Henry Davis RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ER Endy Rodríguez SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Endy Rodríguez
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.