PITCHER MATCHUP
Hurston Waldrep vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hurston Waldrep's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hurston Waldrep's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 29%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 13%Slider 12%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Unknown 2%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hurston Waldrep, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 HD Henry Davis RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.