PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.