PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 35%Splitter 10%Curveball 1%Sinker 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →