PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.