PITCHER MATCHUP
Hunter Greene vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hunter Greene's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 35%Splitter 10%Curveball 1%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .364
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LT Leody Taveras SH .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .279
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.