PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.