PITCHER MATCHUP
Hunter Greene vs Chicago Cubs
How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hunter Greene's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%
How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MB Michael Busch LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.