PITCHER MATCHUP
Hunter Greene vs Chicago Cubs
How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hunter Greene's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%
How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Michael Busch LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.