PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 35%Splitter 10%Curveball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.