PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 35%Splitter 10%Curveball 1%Sinker 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →