PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Greene vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Greene's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Greene's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 34%Splitter 10%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Greene, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.