PITCHER MATCHUP
Hunter Dobbins vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hunter Dobbins's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 22%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 8%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 JC José Caballero RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AW Austin Wells LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .381
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .453 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.