PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Sweeper 12%Curveball 10%Splitter 9%Sinker 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →