PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 23%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 661 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-10 game page →