PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 22%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 8%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 716 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.