PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Sweeper 12%Curveball 10%Splitter 9%Sinker 7%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.