PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 25%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .398
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .462 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.