PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 22%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 8%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.