PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 22%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 8%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .448 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.