PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 23%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 7%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →