PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Dobbins vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Dobbins's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Dobbins's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 22%Sweeper 12%Curveball 11%Splitter 10%Sinker 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Dobbins, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.