PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 12%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EQ Edgar Quero SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →