PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.