PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.