PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 22%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 12%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →