PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →