PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 12%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JJ Josh Jung RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Burger RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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