PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 691 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .453 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →