PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 12%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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