PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 8%Cutter 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.