PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 8%Cutter 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →