PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sinker 24%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →